The Denver Nuggets had a highly improbable comeback win versus the Oklahoma City Thunder during the first game of the Western Conference semifinals. Oklahoma City held a lead as large as 14 points ...

Win probability Charts for NFL games generally don’t include dramatic rises or falls. Then again, we’ve never seen a game like the Chiefs’ 51-31 win over the Houston Texans in Sunday’s AFC Divisional ...

Whew. Let’s all take a deep breath. Sunday’s season opener between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons was a roller coaster ride from start to finish, peaking in the fourth quarter with a ...

If we convert this spread into a probability of recession twelve months ahead using the probit model described earlier (estimated with Treasury data from January 1959 to December 2005), we can match ...